股价指数时间序列的分形性质分析

用一种新的信号处理工具-小波变换,对股价指数数据进行分析,发现股价指数数据类似于一类更广的噪声一分形噪声,从而推广了传统上处理股价指数时间序列时总假定其为白噪声或高斯噪声的假设,用分形噪声能更好地刻划股价指数数据的波动特性.对上证指数和深证指数的实证分析显示,两市股价指数均存在正相关,我国股票市场不是弱式有效市场.实证也显示出小波变换是研究股价指数波动特性的一种有效的方法.     

A unified framework for pull control mechanisms in multi‐stage manufacturing systems

This paper presents a unified framework for pull production control mechanisms in multistage manufacturing systems. A pull production control mechanism in a multistage manufacturing system is a mechanism that coordinates the release of parts into each stage of the system with the arrival of customer demands for final products. Four basic pull production control mechanisms are presented: Base Stock, Kanban, Generalized Kanban, and Extended Kanban. It is argued that on top of any of these basic coordination mechanisms, a local mechanism to control the workinprocess in each stage may be superimposed. Several cases of basic stage coordination mechanisms with stage workinprocess control are presented, and several production control systems that have appeared in the literature are shown to be equivalent to some of these cases.     

AN OPTIMAL INVESTMENT／CONSUMPTIONPROBLEM WITH HIGHER BORROWING RATE

In this paper, optimal investment and consumption decisions for an optimal choiceproblem in infinite borizon are considered, for an investor who has available a bank account anda stock whose price is a log normal diffusion. The bank pays at an interest rate r for any de-posit, and takes at a larger rate / for any loan. As in the paper of Xu Wensheng and ChenShuping in JAMS(B), where an analogous problem in finite horizon is studied, optimal strategies are obtained via Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (ladE) equation which is derived from dynamic c1-programming principle. For the specific HARA case, i.e. U(t,c)=e^-βtc^1-R/1-R, this paper getsthe optimal consumption and optimal investment in the form of c^‘1 =β -^-g/Rwi and π^‘1= b -- γ / Rσ^2wr, with γ1,=max{γ,min{γ‘,b--Rσ^2‘} },^-g=(1--R)[γ (b-γ)^2/2Rσ^2]. This result coincides with the classical one under condition γ‘ ≡γ.     

Identifying the structure of group correlation in the Korean financial market

We investigate the structure of the cross-correlation in the Korean stock market. We analyze daily cross-correlations between price fluctuations of 586 different Korean stock entities for the 6-year time period from 2003 to 2008. The main purpose is to investigate the structure of group correlation and its stability by undressing the market-wide effect using the Markowitz multi-factor model and the network-based approach. We find the explicit list of significant firms in the few largest eigenvectors from the undressed correlation matrix. We also observe that each contributor is involved in the same business sectors. The structure of group correlation can not remain constant during each 1-year time period with different starting points, whereas only two largest eigenvectors are stable for 6 years 8-9 eigenvectors remain stable for half-year. The structure of group correlation in the Korean financial market is disturbed during a sufficiently short time period even though the group correlation exists as an ensemble for the 6-year time period in the evolution of the system. We verify the structure of group correlation by applying a network-based approach. In addition, we examine relations between market capitalization and businesses. The Korean stock market shows a different behavior compared to mature markets, implying that the KOSPI is a target for short-positioned investors.     

A two-objective mathematical model without cutting patterns for one-dimensional assortment problems

This paper considers a one-dimensional cutting stock and assortment problem. One of the main difficulties in formulating and solving these kinds of problems is the use of the set of cutting patterns as a parameter set in the mathematical model. Since the total number of cutting patterns to be generated may be very huge, both the generation and the use of such a set lead to computational difficulties in solution process. The purpose of this paper is therefore to develop a mathematical model without the use of cutting patterns as model parameters. We propose a new, two-objective linear integer programming model in the form of simultaneous minimization of two contradicting objectives related to the total trim loss amount and the total number of different lengths of stock rolls to be maintained as inventory, in order to fulfill a given set of cutting orders. The model does not require pre-specification of cutting patterns. We suggest a special heuristic algorithm for solving the presented model. The superiority of both the mathematical model and the solution approach is demonstrated on test problems.     

城市社区共享资源维护的个体异质性效应研究

城市社区共享资源经历日晒雨淋或人为频繁使用而逐渐耗损,为了"保值增值",必然出现对其维护捐赠的可持续性问题.在多人跨期均衡模型和数学赋值的随机模拟基础上,对个体偏好异质性等参数影响捐赠投入的机理进行了探讨,认为:差异程度与城市社区共享资源维护的捐赠投入正相关;且初始存量较大或耗损速率较慢时,异质性的作用更加显著.     

基金与基金组合投资

本根据组合证券投资理论了基金的投资原理,建立了基金管理决策模型与基金组合投资决策模型,并进行了静态分析和动态分析。     

Uniform asymptotics for a multi-dimensional time-dependent risk model with multivariate regularly varying claims and stochastic return

This paper is devoted to asymptotic analysis for a multi-dimensional risk model with a general dependence structure and stochastic return driven by a geometric Lévy process. We take into account both the dependence among the claim sizes from different lines of businesses and that between the claim sizes and their common claim-number process. Under certain mild technical conditions, we obtain for two types of ruin probabilities precise asymptotic expansions which hold uniformly for the whole time horizon.     

A股上市公司内部人股票买卖行为及获利能力分析

系统地分析了2006年至2011年我国A股市场上市公司的内部人在二级市场的交易行为及其收益预测.结论表明:尽管在我国证券市场中存在针对内部人交易的法律法规,但总体上内部人在交易中仍然表现出良好的时机把握能力.不论是买入还是卖出,均能获得显著的超额收益.内部人交易超额收益的大小受到公司所有权性质、内部人类型等因素的影响.一方面,较于董事、监事等内部人,高管获利能力普遍较强,而其中董事长和总经理的获利能力最强;另一方面,由于我国特殊的公司所有权性质与晋升机制,使得国有上市公司的董事长和总经理利用内部人交易获利的动机小于非国有企业;规模越大的国有上市公司,其董事长和总经理通过内部人交易获取超额收益的程度也越小.